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There's an interesting contradiction here. We trust Kaufman's data because it is based on games played by grandmasters. Grandmaster play is important because we are measuring the value of pieces when played with accuracy (not affected by poor play and blunders). Grandmasters say the king is worth 4. We say the king is worth only 3.1.
Conclusion: Grandmasters can win even more games if they knew a king's value is 3.1, not 4.0
On a side note, I wrote an article specifically about the guard (commoner/man) which interested readers can find here:
https://www.chess.com/forum/view/chess960-chess-variants/a-critical-analysis-of-the-guard-in-chess
The opening paragraph includes a total of 26 other names for this piece. I don't talk much about the value of the guard, but it does have a brief quote by the one "HGMuller". :)