Derek Nalls wrote on Sun, May 25, 2008 10:03 PM UTC:
The reason you have never been able find any correlation between winning
probabilities for one army and time controls [contrary to the experiences
of people using other AI programs] in asymmetrical playtests using Joker80
is that you have destructively randomized the algorithm within your program
to such an extent that it fails to measurably improve the quality of its
moves as a function of time or plies completed. A program with serious
problems of this nature may do well in speed chess but at truly long time
controls against quality programs that improve as they should with time or
plies per move, it cannot consistently win.
I have two useful, important pieces of news for you:
1. All of the statistical data you have generated using Joker80 (appr.
20,000+ games) is corrupt. It must all be thrown out and started over
from scratch after you repair Joker80.
2. All of your material values for CRC pieces are unreliable since they
are based upon and derived from #1 (corrupt statistical data).
I hope you can handle constructive advice.